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Wimbledon vs Newport County: betting tips & best odds

EFL CupKick-off · Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 15:0017 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Wimbledon56.8%1.68Betfair-4.6%
Draw23.5%4.00Paddy Power-6.2%
Newport County19.8%5.00Paddy Power-1.2%
02
Form & last season
Wimbledon's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Newport County's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Wimbledon the favourite at 56.8%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Wimbledon vs Newport County?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Wimbledon are the most likely outcome at about 56.8%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Wimbledon vs Newport County?Best prices across 17 bookmakers right now: Wimbledon 1.68 (Betfair), the draw 4.00 (Paddy Power), Newport County 5.00 (Paddy Power). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Wimbledon play Newport County?Kick-off is Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), in the EFL Cup.
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