The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York City | 55.2% | 1.77 | Grosvenor | -2.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.00 | LeoVegas | -3.2% |
| Crawley Town | 20.5% | 5.00 | Betfair Sportsbook | 2.7% ⚑ value |
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