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York City vs Crawley Town: betting tips & best odds

EFL CupKick-off · Monday, 3 August 2026 at 19:3015 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
York City55.2%1.77Grosvenor-2.2%
Draw24.2%4.00LeoVegas-3.2%
Crawley Town20.5%5.00Betfair Sportsbook2.7% ⚑ value
02
Form & last season
York City's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Crawley Town's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes York City the favourite at 55.2%. The price that stands out: Crawley Town at 5.00 with Betfair Sportsbook — about 2.7% above the sharp market's true price. That's a value price, not a certainty: it means the odds are on the right side of the probability. You decide what to back.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for York City vs Crawley Town?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), York City are the most likely outcome at about 55.2%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for York City vs Crawley Town?Best prices across 15 bookmakers right now: York City 1.77 (Grosvenor), the draw 4.00 (LeoVegas), Crawley Town 5.00 (Betfair Sportsbook). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do York City play Crawley Town?Kick-off is Monday, 3 August 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), in the EFL Cup.
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