The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 65.1% | 1.44 | Coral | -6.3% |
| Draw | 20.0% | 5.00 | Coral | 0.2% |
| Oldham Athletic | 14.9% | 7.00 | Paddy Power | 4.4% ⚑ value |
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