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Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City: betting tips & best odds

EFL CupKick-off · Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 17:004 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Plymouth Argyle58.2%1.55Grosvenor-9.7%
Draw22.6%4.00Grosvenor-9.8%
Exeter City19.2%4.70Grosvenor-9.8%
02
Form & last season
Plymouth Argyle's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Exeter City's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Plymouth Argyle the favourite at 58.2%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Plymouth Argyle are the most likely outcome at about 58.2%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?Best prices across 4 bookmakers right now: Plymouth Argyle 1.55 (Grosvenor), the draw 4.00 (Grosvenor), Exeter City 4.70 (Grosvenor). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Plymouth Argyle play Exeter City?Kick-off is Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), in the EFL Cup.
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