Nott'm Forest vs Leeds: betting tips & best odds

Premier LeagueSaturday, 22 August 2026 at 15:0039 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

The market, priced honestly

Sharp reference: Pinnacle. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.

Outcome	True chance	Best price	Bookmaker	Edge vs sharp
Nott'm Forest	42.3%	2.32	1xBet	-1.9%
Draw	28.6%	3.55	Betfair	1.4% ⚑ value
Leeds	29.2%	3.35	1xBet	-2.3%

Form & last season

Nott'm Forest finished last season in the Premier League on 44 points from 38 games (W11 D11 L16, 48 scored, 51 conceded), closing the campaign W-W-D-L-D. Leeds finished last season in the Premier League on 47 points from 38 games (W11 D14 L13, 49 scored, 56 conceded), closing the campaign D-W-D-W-L.

Head to head — last 5 meetings

Nott'm Forest 2-0 Leeds · Feb 2020

Nott'm Forest 1-0 Leeds · Feb 2023

Leeds 2-1 Nott'm Forest · Apr 2023

Nott'm Forest 3-1 Leeds · Nov 2025

Leeds 3-1 Nott'm Forest · Feb 2026

The Touch Line read

The sharp market makes Nott'm Forest the favourite at 42.3%. The price that stands out: the draw at 3.55 with Betfair — about 1.4% above the sharp market's true price. That's a value price, not a certainty: it means the odds are on the right side of the probability. You decide what to back.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Nott'm Forest vs Leeds?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (Pinnacle), Nott'm Forest are the most likely outcome at about 42.3%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.

What are the best odds for Nott'm Forest vs Leeds?Best prices across 39 bookmakers right now: Nott'm Forest 2.32 (1xBet), the draw 3.55 (Betfair), Leeds 3.35 (1xBet). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.

When do Nott'm Forest play Leeds?Kick-off is Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), in the Premier League.

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