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Hull vs Man United: betting tips & best odds

Premier LeagueSaturday, 22 August 2026 at 12:3039 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: Pinnacle. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Hull13.6%7.80Betfair6.0% ⚑ value
Draw21.9%4.70Betfair2.9%
Man United64.5%1.501xBet-3.3%
02
Form & last season
Hull finished last season in the Championship on 73 points from 46 games (W21 D10 L15, 70 scored, 66 conceded), closing the campaign L-D-D-L-W. Man United finished last season in the Premier League on 71 points from 38 games (W20 D11 L7, 69 scored, 50 conceded), closing the campaign W-W-D-W-W. Hull arrive from the Championship, so early-season prices lean heavily on how the market rates the step up — exactly the kind of fixture where bookmakers disagree with each other most.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Man United the favourite at 64.5%. The price that stands out: Hull at 7.80 with Betfair — about 6.0% above the sharp market's true price. That's a value price, not a certainty: it means the odds are on the right side of the probability. You decide what to back.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Hull vs Man United?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (Pinnacle), Man United are the most likely outcome at about 64.5%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Hull vs Man United?Best prices across 39 bookmakers right now: Hull 7.80 (Betfair), the draw 4.70 (Betfair), Man United 1.50 (1xBet). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Hull play Man United?Kick-off is Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), in the Premier League.
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