The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | 68.9% | 1.38 | Grosvenor | -4.9% |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.20 | Betfair | -1.3% |
| Northampton Town | 12.1% | 9.20 | Betfair | 11.7% ⚑ value |
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