The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 56.9% | 1.70 | Ladbrokes | -3.4% |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.60 | Betway | -4.3% |
| Newells Old Boys | 16.6% | 6.20 | Betfair | 2.7% ⚑ value |
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