Tips  /  Primera División

Independiente vs Newells Old Boys: betting tips & best odds

Primera DivisiónKick-off · Friday, 31 July 2026 at 01:1510 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Independiente56.9%1.70Ladbrokes-3.4%
Draw26.6%3.60Betway-4.3%
Newells Old Boys16.6%6.20Betfair2.7% ⚑ value
02
Form & last season
Independiente's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Newells Old Boys's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Independiente the favourite at 56.9%. The price that stands out: Newells Old Boys at 6.20 with Betfair — about 2.7% above the sharp market's true price. That's a value price, not a certainty: it means the odds are on the right side of the probability. You decide what to back.

Betting on this one?

Grab a new-customer free bet first — it's the biggest edge a casual punter has. Then let the Pro scanner watch every price for you, every day. 18+, T&Cs apply.

Today's free bets

FAQ

Who is the favourite for Independiente vs Newells Old Boys?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Independiente are the most likely outcome at about 56.9%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Independiente vs Newells Old Boys?Best prices across 10 bookmakers right now: Independiente 1.70 (Ladbrokes), the draw 3.60 (Betway), Newells Old Boys 6.20 (Betfair). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Independiente play Newells Old Boys?Kick-off is Friday, 31 July 2026 at 01:15 (UK time), in the Primera División.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org · GamStop · Touch Line Bets contains affiliate links (#ad); we may earn a commission from bookmaker sign-ups. No outcome is guaranteed; betting involves risk of loss.
About us · Responsible gambling · Guides · News & Odds
InstagramTikTokXYouTubeTelegram