The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 47.3% | 2.04 | Smarkets | -3.6% |
| Draw | 31.4% | 3.00 | BoyleSports | -5.7% |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 21.3% | 4.80 | Betfair | 2.3% ⚑ value |
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