The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht | 39.7% | 2.35 | Unibet (UK) | -6.8% |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.70 | Betfair Sportsbook | -5.5% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 34.8% | 2.70 | Unibet (UK) | -6.1% |
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