The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 76.9% | 1.25 | Coral | -3.8% |
| Draw | 13.5% | 7.60 | Betfair | 2.5% |
| Fortuna Sittard | 9.6% | 11.00 | Betfair | 5.5% ⚑ value |
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