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Falkirk F.C. vs St Mirren: betting tips & best odds

Scottish PremiershipKick-off · Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 15:0019 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Falkirk F.C.47.0%2.05Coral-3.7%
Draw26.5%3.75Casumo-0.7%
St Mirren26.6%3.70Smarkets-1.8%
02
Form & last season
Falkirk F.C.'s recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. St Mirren's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Falkirk F.C. the favourite at 47.0%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Falkirk F.C. vs St Mirren?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Falkirk F.C. are the most likely outcome at about 47.0%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Falkirk F.C. vs St Mirren?Best prices across 19 bookmakers right now: Falkirk F.C. 2.05 (Coral), the draw 3.75 (Casumo), St Mirren 3.70 (Smarkets). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Falkirk F.C. play St Mirren?Kick-off is Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), in the Scottish Premiership.
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