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Aberdeen vs Hearts: betting tips & best odds

Scottish PremiershipKick-off · Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 17:3019 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Aberdeen22.8%4.25Casumo-3.0%
Draw24.8%3.85Smarkets-4.4%
Hearts52.3%1.90Smarkets-0.5%
02
Form & last season
Aberdeen's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Hearts's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Hearts the favourite at 52.3%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs Hearts?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Hearts are the most likely outcome at about 52.3%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Aberdeen vs Hearts?Best prices across 19 bookmakers right now: Aberdeen 4.25 (Casumo), the draw 3.85 (Smarkets), Hearts 1.90 (Smarkets). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Aberdeen play Hearts?Kick-off is Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), in the Scottish Premiership.
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