The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 64.5% | 1.43 | Casumo | -7.8% |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.20 | Casumo | -6.5% |
| Sligo Rovers | 13.3% | 7.00 | Casumo | -7.1% |
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