The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Patricks Athletic | 50.7% | 1.92 | Casumo | -2.7% |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.60 | Betfair Sportsbook | -1.6% |
| Derry City | 22.0% | 4.50 | Betfair Sportsbook | -1.0% |
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