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Derby County vs Lincoln City: betting tips & best odds

EFL CupKick-off · Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 15:0017 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Derby County47.3%2.05Coral-3.1%
Draw25.0%3.80Betway-4.9%
Lincoln City27.7%3.45Betfair-4.3%
02
Form & last season
Derby County's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Lincoln City's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Derby County the favourite at 47.3%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Derby County vs Lincoln City?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Derby County are the most likely outcome at about 47.3%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Derby County vs Lincoln City?Best prices across 17 bookmakers right now: Derby County 2.05 (Coral), the draw 3.80 (Betway), Lincoln City 3.45 (Betfair). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Derby County play Lincoln City?Kick-off is Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), in the EFL Cup.
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