The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra | 50.8% | 1.83 | LeoVegas | -6.9% |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.75 | Coral | -4.3% |
| Accrington Stanley | 23.6% | 4.10 | Betfair | -3.2% |
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