The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 60.6% | 1.55 | LeoVegas | -6.0% |
| Draw | 23.7% | 3.90 | Betfair Sportsbook | -7.5% |
| Chapecoense | 15.6% | 6.00 | Paddy Power | -6.2% |
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