The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 52.9% | 1.85 | Matchbook | -2.2% |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.85 | Betfair | -1.1% |
| Bahia | 21.4% | 4.80 | Betfair | 2.9% ⚑ value |
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