The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 48.5% | 1.97 | Matchbook | -4.5% |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.25 | Unibet (UK) | -5.6% |
| Atletico Paranaense | 22.5% | 4.50 | Betfair | 1.2% ⚑ value |
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