The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City | 64.2% | 1.48 | Coral | -5.0% |
| Draw | 20.7% | 4.50 | Paddy Power | -6.9% |
| Swindon Town | 15.2% | 6.80 | Betfair | 3.0% ⚑ value |
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