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Burnley vs Notts County: betting tips & best odds

EFL CupKick-off · Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 15:0017 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Burnley59.1%1.60Coral-5.4%
Draw23.1%4.20Paddy Power-2.9%
Notts County17.7%5.50Paddy Power-2.5%
02
Form & last season
Burnley's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Notts County's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Burnley the favourite at 59.1%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Notts County?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Burnley are the most likely outcome at about 59.1%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Burnley vs Notts County?Best prices across 17 bookmakers right now: Burnley 1.60 (Coral), the draw 4.20 (Paddy Power), Notts County 5.50 (Paddy Power). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Burnley play Notts County?Kick-off is Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), in the EFL Cup.
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