The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 42.1% | 2.15 | Betfred (UK) | -9.4% |
| Draw | 32.3% | 3.00 | BoyleSports | -3.1% |
| Estudiantes | 25.6% | 3.65 | Smarkets | -6.7% |
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