The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSG Tirol | 25.4% | 4.00 | Betfair | 1.4% ⚑ value |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.75 | Betfair | -3.0% |
| Sturm Graz | 48.8% | 1.91 | Ladbrokes | -6.9% |
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