The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 75.0% | 1.25 | 888sport | -6.3% |
| Draw | 16.0% | 6.00 | Unibet (UK) | -4.0% |
| Crawley Town | 9.0% | 12.00 | Paddy Power | 8.5% ⚑ value |
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