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Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City SC: betting tips & best odds

MLSKick-off · Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 01:007 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Sporting Kansas City30.7%3.10888sport-4.7%
Draw24.0%3.90888sport-6.6%
St. Louis City SC45.3%2.00Paddy Power-9.4%
02
Form & last season
Sporting Kansas City's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. St. Louis City SC's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes St. Louis City SC the favourite at 45.3%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City SC?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), St. Louis City SC are the most likely outcome at about 45.3%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City SC?Best prices across 7 bookmakers right now: Sporting Kansas City 3.10 (888sport), the draw 3.90 (888sport), St. Louis City SC 2.00 (Paddy Power). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Sporting Kansas City play St. Louis City SC?Kick-off is Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), in the MLS.
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