The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras-SP | 69.8% | 1.33 | LeoVegas | -7.2% |
| Draw | 18.7% | 5.60 | Casumo | 4.7% |
| Cerro Porteño | 11.5% | 9.50 | Paddy Power | 9.3% ⚑ value |
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