Tips  /  Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño: betting tips & best odds

Copa LibertadoresKick-off · Wednesday, 12 August 2026 at 23:0010 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Palmeiras-SP69.8%1.33LeoVegas-7.2%
Draw18.7%5.60Casumo4.7%
Cerro Porteño11.5%9.50Paddy Power9.3% ⚑ value
02
Form & last season
Palmeiras-SP's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Cerro Porteño's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Palmeiras-SP the favourite at 69.8%. The price that stands out: Cerro Porteño at 9.50 with Paddy Power — about 9.3% above the sharp market's true price. That's a value price, not a certainty: it means the odds are on the right side of the probability. You decide what to back.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Palmeiras-SP are the most likely outcome at about 69.8%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño?Best prices across 10 bookmakers right now: Palmeiras-SP 1.33 (LeoVegas), the draw 5.60 (Casumo), Cerro Porteño 9.50 (Paddy Power). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Palmeiras-SP play Cerro Porteño?Kick-off is Wednesday, 12 August 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), in the Copa Libertadores.
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