The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | 34.3% | 2.70 | LeoVegas | -7.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | 3.80 | 888sport | -5.2% |
| Nashville SC | 40.8% | 2.25 | Paddy Power | -8.2% |
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