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New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union: betting tips & best odds

MLSKick-off · Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 23:007 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
New York City FC55.0%1.67Paddy Power-8.1%
Draw23.5%4.00888sport-6.2%
Philadelphia Union21.5%4.33888sport-6.8%
02
Form & last season
New York City FC's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. Philadelphia Union's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes New York City FC the favourite at 55.0%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), New York City FC are the most likely outcome at about 55.0%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?Best prices across 7 bookmakers right now: New York City FC 1.67 (Paddy Power), the draw 4.00 (888sport), Philadelphia Union 4.33 (888sport). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do New York City FC play Philadelphia Union?Kick-off is Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), in the MLS.
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