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Monterrey vs FC Juárez: betting tips & best odds

Liga MXKick-off · Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 02:005 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Monterrey58.7%1.55William Hill-9.0%
Draw22.7%4.20Paddy Power-4.7%
FC Juárez18.6%5.00Paddy Power-7.0%
02
Form & last season
Monterrey's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. FC Juárez's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Monterrey the favourite at 58.7%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Monterrey vs FC Juárez?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), Monterrey are the most likely outcome at about 58.7%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Monterrey vs FC Juárez?Best prices across 5 bookmakers right now: Monterrey 1.55 (William Hill), the draw 4.20 (Paddy Power), FC Juárez 5.00 (Paddy Power). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Monterrey play FC Juárez?Kick-off is Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), in the Liga MX.
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