The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 49.4% | 2.00 | Grosvenor | -1.2% |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.40 | Grosvenor | -5.6% |
| LDU Quito | 22.9% | 4.40 | Paddy Power | 0.5% |
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