The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 17.5% | 6.00 | Betfair | 5.1% ⚑ value |
| Draw | 20.5% | 4.80 | Grosvenor | -1.7% |
| Mjällby AIF | 62.0% | 1.59 | Betfair | -1.4% |
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