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FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: betting tips & best odds

MLSKick-off · Sunday, 2 August 2026 at 00:3019 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
FC Cincinnati47.7%1.96Betfair-6.5%
Draw22.8%4.40Betfair0.3%
San Jose Earthquakes29.5%3.25Casumo-4.1%
02
Form & last season
FC Cincinnati's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. San Jose Earthquakes's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 47.7%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), FC Cincinnati are the most likely outcome at about 47.7%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?Best prices across 19 bookmakers right now: FC Cincinnati 1.96 (Betfair), the draw 4.40 (Betfair), San Jose Earthquakes 3.25 (Casumo). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do FC Cincinnati play San Jose Earthquakes?Kick-off is Sunday, 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), in the MLS.
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