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FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC: betting tips & best odds

MLSKick-off · Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 00:306 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
FC Cincinnati44.0%2.05Paddy Power-9.8%
Draw24.3%4.00Paddy Power-2.8%
New York City FC31.7%3.00Paddy Power-5.0%
02
Form & last season
FC Cincinnati's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. New York City FC's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 44.0%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), FC Cincinnati are the most likely outcome at about 44.0%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?Best prices across 6 bookmakers right now: FC Cincinnati 2.05 (Paddy Power), the draw 4.00 (Paddy Power), New York City FC 3.00 (Paddy Power). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do FC Cincinnati play New York City FC?Kick-off is Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), in the MLS.
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