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D.C. United vs New England Revolution: betting tips & best odds

MLSKick-off · Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 00:306 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
D.C. United45.4%2.00888sport-9.2%
Draw25.9%3.70Paddy Power-4.2%
New England Revolution28.7%3.30Paddy Power-5.2%
02
Form & last season
D.C. United's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. New England Revolution's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes D.C. United the favourite at 45.4%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for D.C. United vs New England Revolution?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), D.C. United are the most likely outcome at about 45.4%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for D.C. United vs New England Revolution?Best prices across 6 bookmakers right now: D.C. United 2.00 (888sport), the draw 3.70 (Paddy Power), New England Revolution 3.30 (Paddy Power). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do D.C. United play New England Revolution?Kick-off is Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), in the MLS.
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