The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 69.6% | 1.33 | Unibet (UK) | -7.4% |
| Draw | 18.8% | 5.00 | LeoVegas | -6.0% |
| Atlante FC | 11.6% | 8.50 | Betano (UK) | -1.5% |
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