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Burnley vs West Ham United: betting tips & best odds

ChampionshipKick-off · Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 16:0019 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: market average. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Burnley33.3%2.90Betfair-3.4%
Draw26.9%3.60Betfred (UK)-3.1%
West Ham United39.8%2.40Betfred (UK)-4.6%
02
Form & last season
Burnley's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone. West Ham United's recent league data isn't in our model yet — we'll treat them on market price alone.
03
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes West Ham United the favourite at 39.8%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Burnley vs West Ham United?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (market average), West Ham United are the most likely outcome at about 39.8%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Burnley vs West Ham United?Best prices across 19 bookmakers right now: Burnley 2.90 (Betfair), the draw 3.60 (Betfred (UK)), West Ham United 2.40 (Betfred (UK)). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Burnley play West Ham United?Kick-off is Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), in the Championship.
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