Burnley vs West Ham: betting tips & best odds

ChampionshipSunday, 16 August 2026 at 16:0036 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

The market, priced honestly

Sharp reference: Pinnacle. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.

Outcome	True chance	Best price	Bookmaker	Edge vs sharp
Burnley	33.0%	2.92	Nordic Bet	-3.8%
Draw	27.4%	3.60	Betfred (UK)	-1.5%
West Ham	39.7%	2.40	Betfred (UK)	-4.8%

Form & last season

Burnley finished last season in the Premier League on 22 points from 38 games (W4 D10 L24, 38 scored, 75 conceded), closing the campaign L-L-D-L-D. West Ham finished last season in the Premier League on 39 points from 38 games (W10 D9 L19, 46 scored, 65 conceded), closing the campaign W-L-L-L-W.

Head to head — last 5 meetings

West Ham 1-1 Burnley · Apr 2022

Burnley 1-2 West Ham · Nov 2023

West Ham 2-2 Burnley · Mar 2024

West Ham 3-2 Burnley · Nov 2025

Burnley 0-2 West Ham · Feb 2026

The Touch Line read

The sharp market makes West Ham the favourite at 39.7%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Burnley vs West Ham?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (Pinnacle), West Ham are the most likely outcome at about 39.7%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.

What are the best odds for Burnley vs West Ham?Best prices across 36 bookmakers right now: Burnley 2.92 (Nordic Bet), the draw 3.60 (Betfred (UK)), West Ham 2.40 (Betfred (UK)). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.

When do Burnley play West Ham?Kick-off is Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), in the Championship.

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